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The Stingy News Weekly: 05/19/2024


Stingy Links

Cliff Asness interview
"Our conversation covers Cliff's journey from studying market efficiency under Eugene Fama to capitalizing on market inefficiencies at AQR. We discuss regime changes in factors, difficult periods for performance and AQR's business, research innovation, machine learning, index funds, pod shops, areas of cognitive dissonance, private equity, and serving on investment committees." [Video]
[Asness]

Seinfeld on money
"That money became everything. What happened because it was not like that in the seventies. In the seventies, it's how cool is your job? How cool is what you're doing? If your job's cooler than my job, you beat me."
[Behaviour]

Estimating future returns
"As of December 31st, 2023, the S&P 500 was forecasting a return of 1.34%/year over the next ten years, with no adjustment for inflation. As of the close on May 10th, 2024, that figure was 0.32%/year."
[Markets]

Diversification is about decades
"You don't have to look too far back for a lost decade in U.S. stocks (it happened from 2000-2009). In the 1970s and 1980s, U.S. stocks were closer to the bottom of the pack than the top."
[Markets]

Far from perfect
"Looking closer at that time frame highlights that in any 6 month period following yield curve inversion the chances that a recession comes are much closer to 50/50 than 100%. It's a coin flip. As the period moves further out beyond 18 months, the probability of predicting a recession falls closer to the long-term average U.S. recession probability (15-20% of months)."
[Economy]


S&P/TSX60 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EP/BYield
BCE (BCE)CDA
Enbridge (ENB)CCA
TC Energy (TRP)FBA
TELUS (T)ECA
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)AAA
Algonquin Power (AQN)FAA
Emera (EMA)AAA
CIBC (CM)AAA
Power (POW)AAA
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)DCA


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EP/BYield
Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)ACB
Suncor Energy (SU)ABB
Tourmaline Oil (TOU)ABD
Imperial Oil (IMO)ACC
Magna International (MG)AAB
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)AAA
Power (POW)AAA
Emera (EMA)AAA
National Bank (NA)ACC
Cenovus Energy (CVE)ABC


Low Price/Book Value StocksP/EP/BYield
Canadian Apt REIT (CAR.UN)FAC
First Quantum (FM)BAD
Algonquin Power (AQN)FAA
Nutrien (NTR)BAB
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)AAA
Magna International (MG)AAB
Power (POW)AAA
CIBC (CM)AAA
Bank of Montreal (BMO)CAB
Emera (EMA)AAA


Canadian Stock SummaryP/EP/BYield
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)YYY
Emera (EMA)YYY
Power (POW)YYY
Algonquin Power (AQN)YY
CIBC (CM)YY
Magna International (MG)YY
BCE (BCE)Y
Bank of Montreal (BMO)Y
Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)Y
Canadian Apt REIT (CAR.UN)Y
Cenovus Energy (CVE)Y
Enbridge (ENB)Y
First Quantum (FM)Y
Imperial Oil (IMO)Y
National Bank (NA)Y
Nutrien (NTR)Y
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)Y
Suncor Energy (SU)Y
TC Energy (TRP)Y
TELUS (T)Y
Tourmaline Oil (TOU)Y


DOW 30 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EYield
Verizon (VZ)AA
3M (MMM)FA
Dow (DOW)EA
Chevron (CVX)AA
IBM (IBM)BA
Walmart (WMT)AB
Cisco Systems (CSCO)BB
Coca-Cola (KO)DB
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)AB
Amgen (AMGN)CB


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EYield
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)AB
Walmart (WMT)AB
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)AD
Chevron (CVX)AA
Verizon (VZ)AA
Cisco Systems (CSCO)BB
Travelers (TRV)BD
Caterpillar (CAT)BD
Goldman (GS)BC
IBM (IBM)BA


US Stock SummaryP/EYield
Amgen (AMGN)YY
Chevron (CVX)YY
Goldman (GS)YY
Verizon (VZ)YY
3M (MMM)Y
American Express (AXP)Y
Caterpillar (CAT)Y
Cisco Systems (CSCO)Y
Coca-Cola (KO)Y
Dow (DOW)Y
Home Depot (HD)Y
IBM (IBM)Y
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)Y
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)Y
Travelers (TRV)Y
Walgreens (WBA)Y



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2024
  06: 01 09
  05: 05 10 19 25
  04: 07 14 21 28
  03: 03 10 17 24 31
  02: 03 09 17 25
  01: 07 14 21 28
2023
  12: 03 09 16 24 30
  11: 05 12 19 26
  10: 01 07 15 22 29
  09: 04 10 17 24
  08: 07 13 20 27
  07: 02 09 16 23 29
  06: 04 11 16 25
  05: 07 14 21 28
  04: 02 09 16 23 30
  03: 05 12 19 25
  02: 05 12 19 26
  01: 01 08 15 22 29
2022
  12: 04 11 18 25
  11: 06 13 20 27
  10: 02 09 16 23 30
  09: 04 11 18 25
  08: 01 07 14 20 28
  07: 03 10 17 24
  06: 05 12 17 26
  05: 01 08 15 23 29
  04: 03 10 17
  03: 06 13 20 27
  02: 04 13 20 27
  01: 02 09 16 23 30
2021
  12: 05 12 19 25
  11: 06 14 21 28
  10: 03 07 17 24 30
  09: 05 12 19 24
  08: 02 08 15 22 29
  07: 04 11 19 25
  06: 06 13 20 27
  05: 02 09 16 23 30
  04: 04 11 18 25
  03: 07 14 21 28
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 30
2020
  12: 06 13 20 25
  11: 01 08 22 27
  10: 03 11 18 24
  09: 06 11 19 26
  08: 01 09 16 22 30
  07: 04 12 18 26
  06: 06 12 20 27
  05: 03 09 16 23 31
  04: 04 12 17 24
  03: 08 15 22 28
  02: 01 07 15 22 28
  01: 03 10 17 24
2019
  12: 03 11 16 27
  11: 03 08 16 22 27
  10: 04 11 18 22
  09: 06 11 17 25
  08: 12 19 31
  07: 07 26 31
  06: 06 15 21 26
  05: 01 08 15 20 27
  04: 03 13 16 21
  03: 04 12 18 25
  02: 05 13 20 25
  01: 01 08 16 22 28
2018
  12: 03 11 17 26
  11: 01 05 12 19 26
  10: 09 15 22
  09: 06 10 17 24 30
  08: 07 13 22 28
  07: 02 09 16 23 30
  06: 04 12 19 25
  05: 08 14 23 28
  04: 02 10 16 22 30
  03: 05 12 19 27
  02: 05 12 20 26
  01: 01 08 15 22 29
2017
  12: 04 11 18 24
  11: 06 12 20 27
  10: 01 07 16 23 30
  09: 04 11 17 23
  08: 07 16 20 28
  07: 02 09 16 23 30
  06: 04 11 18 26
  05: 07 14 21 28
  04: 02 09 16 23 30
  03: 05 12 19 26
  02: 05 12 19 26
  01: 02 07 15 22 29
2016
  12: 04 11 18 26
  11: 06 13 20 27
  10: 02 09 16 23 29
  09: 04 11 18 25
  08: 07 14 21 28
  07: 03 10 17 24 31
  06: 05 11 19 26
  05: 01 08 15 22
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  03: 06 13 20 27
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 31
2015
  12: 06 13 20 27
  11: 01 08 15 22 29
  10: 04 10 18 25
  09: 05 13 20 27
  08: 17 23 30
  07: 05 12 19 26 31
  06: 06 14 21 28
  05: 03 09 17 23 31
  04: 04 12 19 26
  03: 01 07 15 22 28
  02: 07 14 21
  01: 04 12 18 25 31
2014
  12: 06 14 21 28
  11: 02 08 16 23 30
  10: 04 11 19 26
  09: 06 14 19 28
  08: 10 16 24 29
  07: 05 12 19 25
  06: 08 15 20 29
  05: 04 11 18 25 30
  04: 06 12 20 27
  03: 02 09 16 23 30
  02: 01 09 16 23
  01: 05 12 18 26
2013
  12: 02 09 16 30
  11: 03 11 17 24
  10: 06 14 20 27
  09: 09 16 23 30
  08: 04 10 25
  07: 07 15 21 28
  06: 03 09 16 23 30
  05: 05 12 19 26
  04: 07 14 21 28
  03: 03 11 17 24 31
  02: 04 10 17 24
  01: 06 13 20 27
2012
  12: 02 09 16 23 30
  11: 04 11 18 25
  10: 07 14 21 28
  09: 02 09 16 23 30
  08: 05 12 19 26
  07: 01 08 15 22 29
  06: 03 10 17 24
  05: 07 13 20 27
  04: 01 08 15 22 29
  03: 04 11 18 25
  02: 05 12 19 26
  01: 01 08 15 22 29
2011
  12: 04 11 18 25
  11: 06 13 20 27
  10: 02 09 16 23 30
  09: 04 11 18 25
  08: 07 14 21 28
  07: 03 10 17 24
  06: 05 12 19 26
  05: 01 08 15 22 29
  04: 04 10 17 24
  03: 06 13 20 27
  02: 06 13 20 27
  01: 02 09 16 23 30
2010
  12: 05 12 19 26
  11: 07 14 21 28
  10: 03 10 17 24 31
  09: 05 12 19 26
  08: 01 08 15 22 29
  07: 04 11 16 25
  06: 06 13 20 27
  05: 02 09 16 23 30
  04: 04 11 18 25
  03: 07 14 21 28
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 31

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