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The Stingy News Weekly (01/29/2018)


"there are all kinds of wonderful new inventions that give you nothing as owners except the opportunity to spend a lot more money in a business that's still going to be lousy. The money still won't come to you. All of the advantages from great improvements are going to flow through to the customers."
- Charlie Munger


New from StingyInvestor

Dogs Contest
"Each January, I like to create a little challenge that adds a bit of flavour to the Safer Canadian Dogs strategy. All it takes is to pick the best and the worst of Canadian dividend stocks."


Asset Mixer Update
We've updated our Asset Mixer to include real data for 2017.


Periodic Table Update
We've updated our periodic table of annual returns for Canadians to include real data for 2017.


Stingy Links

A momentum signal
"Historically, the S&P 500 has been followed by above-average returns over the next 6, 12, 24, and 36 months when this cyclical momentum measure is above 85."
[Momentum Investing]

The bankruptcy of modern finance theory
"The profession of finance as practiced today relies heavily on modern finance theory: the dividend discount model and the capital asset pricing model. These models are the centerpieces of most business school finance courses, and surveys suggest that they are used by over 70 percent of CFOs for capital budgeting. They are also used by almost every fundamental investor and most financial advisers. Yet these theories have been empirically invalidated time and again in well-publicized, peer-reviewed studies. Their continued usage represents another calibration error - between the claimed precision of the models and the actual unpredictability of mark"
[Markets]

High-debt value
"Dan then delves into leverage and the value premium, telling us how important this interaction is. He gives us great details on the subject based on a study he was a part of while at Bain Consulting. The takeaway was that roughly 50% of deals done at multiples greater than 10x EBITDA posted 0% returns to investors, net of fees." [audio]
[Value Investing]

Ontario making it easier to underfund pensions
"Pension defaults are rare, but the CCPA study found that of the 39 largest publicly traded companies that have defined-benefit pensions, only nine had plans that were fully funded last year. Rather than loosening restrictions, Ontario should amend the Ontario Pension Benefit Act to require businesses to fund 100% of their pensions. Those that can't shouldn't offer pensions in the first place."
[Government]

Policy-based evidence making
"Social scientists, meanwhile, are discovering that they cannot replicate many of their own findings. The incentives of the profession weigh heavily toward designing experiments that will produce a positive result, analyzing and reanalyzing data until one appears, and then interpreting it as broadly as possible. That kind of research produces headlines, but not knowledge - a fact that social scientists are beginning to acknowledge. With their enthusiasm for EBP, policymakers are running headlong into a collapsing structure, pushing past inhabitants fleeing in the other direction."
[Government]


S&P/TSX60 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Inter Pipeline (IPL)3215
Enbridge (ENB)2445
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)2225
BCE Inc. (BCE)3135
Emera (EMA)3445
Power Corp of Canada (POW)5555
Shaw (SJR.B)4235
TransCanada (TRP)2225
TELUS (T)2135
CIBC (CM)5335
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Cenovus Energy (CVE)5552
Valeant Pharma (VRX)5550
Barrick Gold (ABX)5441
Teck Resources (TECK.B)5541
Power Corp of Canada (POW)5555
Magna (MG)5353
Thomson Reuters (TRI)5234
ARC Resources (ARX)5415
CIBC (CM)5335
National Bank (NA)5334
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Book Value StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Cenovus Energy (CVE)5552
Crescent Point (CPG)0534
Goldcorp (G)2521
Cameco (CCO)0544
Power Corp of Canada (POW)5555
Teck Resources (TECK.B)5541
Husky Energy (HSE)1550
First Quantum (FM)0521
Kinross Gold (K)1540
Valeant Pharma (VRX)5550
Notes | More Info...


Canadian Stock SummaryYieldP/EP/B
Power Corp of Canada (POW)YYY
CIBC (CM)YY
Cenovus Energy (CVE)YY
Teck Resources (TECK.B)YY
Valeant Pharma (VRX)YY
ARC Resources (ARX)Y
BCE Inc. (BCE)Y
Barrick Gold (ABX)Y
Cameco (CCO)Y
Crescent Point (CPG)Y
Emera (EMA)Y
Enbridge (ENB)Y
First Quantum (FM)Y
Goldcorp (G)Y
Husky Energy (HSE)Y
Inter Pipeline (IPL)Y
Kinross Gold (K)Y
Magna (MG)Y
National Bank (NA)Y
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)Y
Shaw (SJR.B)Y
TELUS (T)Y
Thomson Reuters (TRI)Y
TransCanada (TRP)Y
Notes...


DOW 30 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Verizon (VZ)5255
IBM (IBM)3245
Pfizer (PFE)4425
Exxon Mobil (XOM)3455
Chevron (CVX)2545
Procter & Gamble (PG)4335
Merck (MRK)1324
Coca-Cola (KO)1114
General Electric (GE)0454
Cisco (CSCO)4424
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Verizon (VZ)5255
Apple (AAPL)5221
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)5523
Walt Disney (DIS)5332
Travelers (TRV)5552
Cisco (CSCO)4424
UnitedHealth (UNH)4351
Procter & Gamble (PG)4335
United Technologies (UTX)4443
Pfizer (PFE)4425
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Book Value StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Goldman Sachs (GS)2531
Chevron (CVX)2545
Travelers (TRV)5552
DowDuPont (DWDP)1533
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)5523
Exxon Mobil (XOM)3455
General Electric (GE)0454
Cisco (CSCO)4424
Intel (INTC)4424
United Technologies (UTX)4443
Notes | More Info...


US Stock SummaryYieldP/EP/B
Cisco (CSCO)YYY
Chevron (CVX)YY
Exxon Mobil (XOM)YY
General Electric (GE)YY
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)YY
Pfizer (PFE)YY
Procter & Gamble (PG)YY
Travelers (TRV)YY
United Technologies (UTX)YY
Verizon (VZ)YY
Apple (AAPL)Y
Coca-Cola (KO)Y
DowDuPont (DWDP)Y
Goldman Sachs (GS)Y
IBM (IBM)Y
Intel (INTC)Y
Merck (MRK)Y
UnitedHealth (UNH)Y
Walt Disney (DIS)Y
Notes...



The Rothery Report
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The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments.

Rothery Report Performance
(03/31/2001 to 12/31/2017)
Average Capital Gain
52.0%


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2019
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2018
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2017
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2016
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2015
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2014
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2013
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2012
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2010
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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment adviser before trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. More...