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The Stingy News Weekly: 08/15/2021


Stingy Links

Hanging by a thread
"Events, like money, compound. And the central feature of compounding is that it's never intuitive how big something can grow from a small beginning."
[Markets]

The economic recovery catches a cold
"Are we really going to just ignore the worst consumer sentiment numbers in a decade?"
[Markets]

Evaporating liquidity
"The Fed is tightening as they reduce QE, and begin raising the Fed Funds rate in 2022. It will end in a market meltdown in late 2022 as an overly indebted economy cannot tolerate the increase in the financing rate. The Fed will find itself trapped and interest rates will remain low. My confidence level on this idea is only 70%."
[Markets]

Building an inflation portfolio using stocks
"Although we selected stocks based on their correlation to inflation, we have not analyzed how effective these stocks are as inflation-proxies. The average correlation was 0.4 in the period from 2007 to 2018, which is only marginally higher than the 0.3 of the Russell 2000. Given that the performance of both portfolios was approximately similar, this is not surprising. However, perhaps more surprising is that the correlation of other inflation-proxies like TIPS was not high either. In fact, the correlation of TIPS to inflation was 0.1 over the same time period, which is explained by the lagged inflation data that feeds into the TIPS principal and coupon calculation."
[:Markets]

The overvalued market
"While it would be foolish to call the stock market anything but expensive right now there is some context required here. The JP Morgan Guide to the Markets has some excellent charts that do just that. Here's a good one that shows a number of different valuation measures compared to their 25-year averages"
[Markets]


S&P/TSX60 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Enbridge (ENB)BBBA
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)FCDA
TC Energy (TRP)DCDA
BCE Inc. (BCE)DDCA
Cdn Natural Resources (CNQ)CACA
Barrick Gold (ABX)BADA
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)ABBA
TELUS (T)DDBA
Manulife (MFC)AAAA
Algonquin Power (AQN)ABEA
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Kinross Gold (K)AABC
Manulife (MFC)AAAA
Thomson Reuters (TRI)ADED
Algonquin Power (AQN)ABEA
Canadian Apartment REIT (CAR.UN)AAEC
TD Bank (TD)ABCB
Sun Life Financial (SLF)AABB
Power Corp of Canada (POW)AAAB
CIBC (CM)ABCB
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)ABBA
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Book Value StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Teck Resources (TECK.B)EABE
Cenovus Energy (CVE)EAAE
Suncor Energy (SU)DABB
Manulife (MFC)AAAA
Kinross Gold (K)AABC
Canadian Apartment REIT (CAR.UN)AAEC
Imperial Oil (IMO)FAAC
Power Corp of Canada (POW)AAAB
Sun Life Financial (SLF)AABB
Cdn Natural Resources (CNQ)CACA
Notes | More Info...


Canadian Stock SummaryYieldP/EP/B
Manulife (MFC)YYY
Algonquin Power (AQN)YY
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)YY
Canadian Apartment REIT (CAR.UN)YY
Cdn Natural Resources (CNQ)YY
Kinross Gold (K)YY
Power Corp of Canada (POW)YY
Sun Life Financial (SLF)YY
BCE Inc. (BCE)Y
Barrick Gold (ABX)Y
CIBC (CM)Y
Cenovus Energy (CVE)Y
Enbridge (ENB)Y
Imperial Oil (IMO)Y
Pembina Pipeline (PPL)Y
Suncor Energy (SU)Y
TC Energy (TRP)Y
TD Bank (TD)Y
TELUS (T)Y
Teck Resources (TECK.B)Y
Thomson Reuters (TRI)Y
Notes...


DOW 30 Value Screens

High Dividend Yield StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Chevron (CVX)EAAA
IBM (IBM)CCBA
Verizon (VZ)ABBA
Dow (DOW)ABAA
Walgreens (WBA)BAAA
Merck (MRK)DCCB
Amgen (AMGN)BEDB
Coca-Cola (KO)DDEB
3M (MMM)BDCB
Cisco (CSCO)BCDB
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Earnings StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Goldman Sachs (GS)AABD
Travelers (TRV)AAAC
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)AACC
Verizon (VZ)ABBA
Dow (DOW)ABAA
Intel (INTC)BBCC
Walgreens (WBA)BAAA
American Express (AXP)BBCE
3M (MMM)BDCB
Amgen (AMGN)BEDB
Notes | More Info...


Low Price/Book Value StocksP/EP/BP/SYield
Travelers (TRV)AAAC
Goldman Sachs (GS)AABD
Chevron (CVX)EAAA
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)AACC
Walgreens (WBA)BAAA
Intel (INTC)BBCC
Dow (DOW)ABAA
Verizon (VZ)ABBA
Walt Disney (DIS)EBDF
American Express (AXP)BBCE
Notes | More Info...


US Stock SummaryYieldP/EP/B
Dow (DOW)YYY
Verizon (VZ)YYY
Walgreens (WBA)YYY
3M (MMM)YY
American Express (AXP)YY
Amgen (AMGN)YY
Chevron (CVX)YY
Goldman Sachs (GS)YY
Intel (INTC)YY
JP Morgan Chase (JPM)YY
Travelers (TRV)YY
Cisco (CSCO)Y
Coca-Cola (KO)Y
IBM (IBM)Y
Merck (MRK)Y
Walt Disney (DIS)Y
Notes...



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The Rothery Report

2021
  10: 03 07 17
  09: 05 12 19 24
  08: 02 08 15 22 29
  07: 04 11 19 25
  06: 06 13 20 27
  05: 02 09 16 23 30
  04: 04 11 18 25
  03: 07 14 21 28
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 30
2020
  12: 06 13 20 25
  11: 01 08 22 27
  10: 03 11 18 24
  09: 06 11 19 26
  08: 01 09 16 22 30
  07: 04 12 18 26
  06: 06 12 20 27
  05: 03 09 16 23 31
  04: 04 12 17 24
  03: 08 15 22 28
  02: 01 07 15 22 28
  01: 03 10 17 24
2019
  12: 03 11 16 27
  11: 03 08 16 22 27
  10: 04 11 18 22
  09: 06 11 17 25
  08: 12 19 31
  07: 07 26 31
  06: 06 15 21 26
  05: 01 08 15 20 27
  04: 03 13 16 21
  03: 04 12 18 25
  02: 05 13 20 25
  01: 01 08 16 22 28
2018
  12: 03 11 17 26
  11: 01 05 12 19 26
  10: 09 15 22
  09: 06 10 17 24 30
  08: 07 13 22 28
  07: 02 09 16 23 30
  06: 04 12 19 25
  05: 08 14 23 28
  04: 02 10 16 22 30
  03: 05 12 19 27
  02: 05 12 20 26
  01: 01 08 15 22 29
2017
  12: 04 11 18 24
  11: 06 12 20 27
  10: 01 07 16 23 30
  09: 04 11 17 23
  08: 07 16 20 28
  07: 02 09 16 23 30
  06: 04 11 18 26
  05: 07 14 21 28
  04: 02 09 16 23 30
  03: 05 12 19 26
  02: 05 12 19 26
  01: 02 07 15 22 29
2016
  12: 04 11 18 26
  11: 06 13 20 27
  10: 02 09 16 23 29
  09: 04 11 18 25
  08: 07 14 21 28
  07: 03 10 17 24 31
  06: 05 11 19 26
  05: 01 08 15 22
  04: 03 10 17 24
  03: 06 13 20 27
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 31
2015
  12: 06 13 20 27
  11: 01 08 15 22 29
  10: 04 10 18 25
  09: 05 13 20 27
  08: 17 23 30
  07: 05 12 19 26 31
  06: 06 14 21 28
  05: 03 09 17 23 31
  04: 04 12 19 26
  03: 01 07 15 22 28
  02: 07 14 21
  01: 04 12 18 25 31
2014
  12: 06 14 21 28
  11: 02 08 16 23 30
  10: 04 11 19 26
  09: 06 14 19 28
  08: 10 16 24 29
  07: 05 12 19 25
  06: 08 15 20 29
  05: 04 11 18 25 30
  04: 06 12 20 27
  03: 02 09 16 23 30
  02: 01 09 16 23
  01: 05 12 18 26
2013
  12: 02 09 16 30
  11: 03 11 17 24
  10: 06 14 20 27
  09: 09 16 23 30
  08: 04 10 25
  07: 07 15 21 28
  06: 03 09 16 23 30
  05: 05 12 19 26
  04: 07 14 21 28
  03: 03 11 17 24 31
  02: 04 10 17 24
  01: 06 13 20 27
2012
  12: 02 09 16 23 30
  11: 04 11 18 25
  10: 07 14 21 28
  09: 02 09 16 23 30
  08: 05 12 19 26
  07: 01 08 15 22 29
  06: 03 10 17 24
  05: 07 13 20 27
  04: 01 08 15 22 29
  03: 04 11 18 25
  02: 05 12 19 26
  01: 01 08 15 22 29
2011
  12: 04 11 18 25
  11: 06 13 20 27
  10: 02 09 16 23 30
  09: 04 11 18 25
  08: 07 14 21 28
  07: 03 10 17 24
  06: 05 12 19 26
  05: 01 08 15 22 29
  04: 04 10 17 24
  03: 06 13 20 27
  02: 06 13 20 27
  01: 02 09 16 23 30
2010
  12: 05 12 19 26
  11: 07 14 21 28
  10: 03 10 17 24 31
  09: 05 12 19 26
  08: 01 08 15 22 29
  07: 04 11 16 25
  06: 06 13 20 27
  05: 02 09 16 23 30
  04: 04 11 18 25
  03: 07 14 21 28
  02: 07 14 21 28
  01: 03 10 17 24 31

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