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The Stingy News Weekly (12/21/01)

The Markets This Week

DOW 30: 10,035.34 +2.29% to a P/E of 27.6
TSE 300: 7,528.30 +1.38% with a negative P/E

The Value View

Dow at a P/E of 20: 7,272 (-27.5%) Poor Value
Dow at a P/E of 15: 5,454 (-45.7%) Fair Value
Dow at a P/E of 10: 3,636 (-63.8%) Good Value

A New Stingy Contest

Figure out how much the XXY company is worth for a chance to win a copy of Jim Otar's new book "High Expectations and False Dreams: One Hundred Years of Stock Market History Applied to Retirement Planning."

http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/freebook.shtml

There have been only a handful of entires. So, enter today!

Stingy Links

The economics of Santa's workshop
Bubbles, Human Judgment, and Expert Opinion
"The widespread public disagreement about whether the stock market has been undergoing a speculative bubble in the past few years reflects an underlying disagreement about how to view human judgment and intellect." [PDF]

Cure for a burst bubble is... another bubble?
"Unless the Fed wants to buy chips and routers and bandwidth, the economy has to grow into and absorb the superfluous capital stock before investment can begin anew. The quicker asset prices are allowed to adjust without interference, the healthier the economy will be in the long run."

The lifetime cost of money management
"An old rule of thumb in the brokerage business, for instance, is that YTB (yield-to-broker) should be about 2 percent a year on client money. The figure comes from the days of full commission brokerage."

Financial complaint system unveiled
"He said the new structure is merely a continuation of the "sham complaint handling systems" now in place among investment industry players."

Don't bother investing outside RRSP not worth it
"The market provides many good investment opportunities, but taxes make each of these pointless; so the affected individuals are usually better off buying vacation properties in the U.S. than investing money and watching the government take it all."

Real return bonds for Canadian dummies
"RRBs can be difficult to understand, particularly because of the ongoing inflation-adjustments to their interest payments and market price, but also because of the way in which they are taxed."

Market Trivia

The trivia questions this week are:
Q1. How much has the DJIA gained since September 11 2001?
Q2. How much has the S&P500 gained since September 11 2001?
Q3. How much has the TSE300 gained since September 11 2001?

The answers for last week's trivia questions are:
Q1. How many of 1999's top ten funds posted above average returns in 2000 & 2001(YTD)?
A1. 2 in 2000 & 1 in 2001.
Q2. How many funds have been top quartile annual performers since 1994?
A2. 8 out of 1505 (0.53%).
Q3. How many funds have been bottom quartile annual performers since 1994?
A3. 7 out of 1505 (0.47%).

Bullishly Yours,
Norman Rothery
ISSN 1499-2795

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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment adviser before trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. More...