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The Rothery Report

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The Stingy News Weekly (11/23/01)

The Markets This Week

DOW 30: 9,959.71 +0.94% to a P/E of 27.2
TSE 300: 7,432.43 +1.60% with a negative P/E

The Value View

Dow at a P/E of 20: 7,323 (-26.5%) Poor Value
Dow at a P/E of 15: 5,492 (-44.9%) Fair Value
Dow at a P/E of 10: 3,662 (-63.2%) Good Value

A Stingy Contest

Figure out how much the XYZ company is worth for a chance to win a copy of Jim Otar's new book "High Expectations and False Dreams: One Hundred Years of Stock Market History Applied to Retirement Planning."

http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/freebook.shtml

Stingy Links

Buffett: An FDIC for insurers
"I'm in the insurance business -- an expensive place to be in the past couple of months. It was made costly for Berkshire Hathaway, the company I run, because I did something very dumb: allowed Berkshire to provide insurance coverage for a huge catastrophe loss without its getting a premium for doing so. The risk we unthinkingly assumed was a loss from terrorism."

Good managers key to Buffett's acquisitions
"How to identify good corporate management? Despite the rhetoric of mutual-fund managers on this score, it's clear from the subpar investment results of most funds that it's an easier game to talk than play."

A four-letter word for regret
"When you buy a lamp, a chainsaw or a toaster, you're usually given ample warning about the potential hazards involved. Surprisingly, this isn't the case with mutual funds. When you buy a fund, nobody tells you in plain, straightforward language that you risk losing up to half your money."

Risk and expected return
"There is only one way to achieve spectacularly high returns like those achieved by US investors in the latter half of the last century-you must start out with the price of assets at very distressed levels, and end up with them at very elevated levels."

The gift you give yourself
"2001 may be the best year in memory to save on taxes, especially for those who make the right financial moves before Dec. 31. Investors, entrepreneurs and simple taxpayers all have year-end strategies available to keep more cash in their pockets and put less in Ottawa's."

Market Trivia

The trivia questions this week are:
  • If you bought equal amounts of the "nifty fifty" stocks on January 1 1972 how much money would you have made by May 31 1993?
  • What was the return on IBM stock from January 1 1972 to May 31 1993?
  • What was the return on Phillip Morris stock from January 1 1972 to May 31 1993?

The answers for last week's trivia questions are:
  • How much did the DOW appreciate 2 years after the Korean War?
  • How much did the DOW appreciate 2 years after the Cuban missile crisis?
  • How much did the DOW appreciate 2 years after the Persian Gulf War?
  • 39.3%
  • 57.3%
  • 31.3%

Stuff @ StingyInvestor.com

Find fundamentally solid stocks at low prices in the Rothery Report. Get a free sample today.

http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/rothery.shtml

Bullishly Yours,
Norman Rothery
ISSN 1499-2795



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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment adviser before trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. More...