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The Stingy News Weekly (10/18/02)

The Markets This Week

DOW 30: 8,322 +6.01% with a median P/E of 23.0
S&P/TSX: 6,327 +5.82% with a median P/E of 23.8

The Value View

Dow at a P/E of 20: 7,237 (-13.0%) Poor Value
Dow at a P/E of 15: 5,427 (-34.8%) Fair Value
Dow at a P/E of 10: 3,618 (-56.5%) Good Value

S&P/TSX at a P/E of 20: 5,317 (-16.0%) Poor Value
S&P/TSX at a P/E of 15: 3,988 (-37.0%) Fair Value
S&P/TSX at a P/E of 10: 2,658 (-58.0%) Good Value

Stingy Links

Nightmare in the corner office
"Imperial-style perks. Hero-worship media coverage. A stock market that moved in one direction. In the New Economy's stock-option bonanza, who didn't want to be a Chief Executive Officer? Today, the question is: Who does?"

Is Buffett buying?
"Rumors abounded Tuesday that the Oracle of Omaha was getting out of bonds, and getting into stocks."

Treasurys crap game
"U.S. government bonds are great havens for those suffering from equities. Great, that is, unless yields pop back up to 6%. Don't count on a Japan scenario."

Watch those estimates
"Analysts still haven't learned their lesson. They persist in using numbers that have little relationship to reality. Just what are "operating earnings" anyway?"

Predator or prey?
"Amid a flurry of lawsuits and countersuits, the murky world of death-spiral financings-one in which Toronto financier Mark Valentine loomed large-is coming to light."

Sultans of schtick
"While Buck A Day's commercials (which are created in-house, by the way) may not be considered high art in advertising circles, you can't argue with success. Since the company's start in the fall of 1999, Dennis says about half a million Canadians have dialed Buck A Day's 1-800 number in response to the radio and TV ads (including the "Knock-knock-knockin'" and "Do you really really want a clone?" spots), which in a typical 24-hour period air every five minutes somewhere in Canada."

Backward-looking accounting
"Is there even such a thing as "true" earnings?"

Why the housing scandals?
"We find, on the one hand, that there is scarcely one statute connected with the administration of public relief which has produced the effect designed by the legislature, and that the majority of them have created new evils, and aggravated those which they were intended to prevent."

Scandal outrage
"First came arrests, then reforms. But there's still plenty of slimy corporate behavior to clean up."

A collection of fine articles
"The first four articles are among the best that I have read about investing, and the final three discuss more practical considerations. May these articles help you to gain a better understanding of investment fundamentals."

Prices just keep plunging
"The economy is growing, and consumers, who still seem to have plenty of cash to spend, are turning out in droves to buy houses, autos, and lots, lots more. So are stores and goods makers jacking up prices? Hardly. In these topsy-turvey times, the opposite is more often the case."

Market Trivia

This week's trivia questions are:

Q1. How many CEOs did American Express have from 1850 to 1992?
Q2. How many CEOs did Phillip Morris have from 1847 to 1992?
Q3. How many CEOs did Ford have from 1903 to 1992?

The answers to last week's trivia questions are:

Q1. When was American Express founded?
A1. 1850
Q2. When was Phillip Morris founded?
A2. 1847
Q3. When was Ford founded?
A3. 1903
Source: Built to Last by Collins & Porras

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Bullishly Yours,
Norman Rothery
ISSN 1499-2795

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