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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2009 01: 04 2008 12: 07 14 21 28 11: 02 09 16 23 30 10: 05 12 19 26 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 Dan's Reports Perspective on the bear Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (09/07/2008)"I don't read economic forecasts. I don't read the funny papers." - Warren Buffett Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Long-Term Capital: It's a short-term memory http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/07/business/07ltcm.html?_r=1&em&oref=slogin "A financial firm borrows billions of dollars to make big bets on esoteric securities. Markets turn and the bets go sour. Overnight, the firm loses most of its money, and Wall Street suddenly shuns it. Fearing that its collapse could set off a full-scale market meltdown, the government intervenes and encourages private interests to bail it out. The firm isn't Bear Stearns - it was Long-Term Capital Management, the hedge fund based in Greenwich, Conn., and the rescue occurred 10 years ago this month." Student tax planning can save a bundle https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20080904/RCESTNICK04 "So, if you've got a child heading off to postsecondary school this year, congratulations, I expect your child will make smarter decisions. And there are some smart decisions related to your child's tax planning that can help too. Let me share some of those today." U.S. takeover of Fannie, Freddie http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=auCiw0BP4Fyk "Under the plan, the Treasury will receive $1 billion of senior preferred stock in coming days, with warrants representing ownership stakes of 79.9 percent of Fannie and Freddie. The government will receive annual interest of 10 percent on the initial investments. As a condition for the assistance, Fannie and Freddie will have to reduce their holdings of mortgages and securities backed by home loans. The portfolios 'shall not exceed $850 billion as of December 31, 2009, and shall decline by 10 percent per year until it reaches $250 billion,' the Treasury said." Mad TV - Free Credit Card http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuKYP2cBvBA A skit on the perils of credit from Mad TV The 65 mpg Ford the U.S. can't have http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_37/b4099060491065.htm "If ever there was a car made for the times, this would seem to be it: a sporty subcompact that seats five, offers a navigation system, and gets a whopping 65 miles to the gallon. Oh yes, and the car is made by Ford Motor (F), known widely for lumbering gas hogs." Your dog's bite could bankrupt you http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Insurance/InsureYourHome/your-dogs-bite-could-bankrupt-you.aspx "But all dog owners need to understand their potential liability should their animal bite, maul or, heaven forbid, kill someone. A single bite could cost you tens of thousands of dollars -- a lawsuit hundreds of thousands -- and your insurance coverage might not apply. If the attack is especially serious, you could even go to jail." Buffett becomes vulture http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aswAkIWAiJtk "Ron Peltier runs HomeServices of America Inc., the second-largest U.S. real estate brokerage, and unlike No. 1 NRT Inc., his company is making money in the worst housing slump since the Great Depression. HomeServices also has a parent, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc., with $28 billion of cash to help finance the purchase of brokerages that can't weather the housing recession. By contrast, NRT's parent Realogy Corp., owned by Leon Black's Apollo Management LP, has at least $875 million of debt that has an 89 percent chance of defaulting within five years, credit-default swaps tracked by London-based CMA DataVision indicate." 10 questions for John Dorfman http://www.thekirkreport.com/2008/09/10-questions-fo.html "The Robot screen contains low P/E outliers. It calls our attention to some of the very cheapest stocks in the market, in the bottom percentile of price/earnings ratios. It screens out stocks that have excessive debt. From this screen we recently bought Om Group (OMG), the largest U.S. dealer in cobalt. It also deals in metal powers. The stock is selling for less than book value and less than six times earnings. We also bought some Cal-Maine Foods (CALM). It produces and sells eggs. Now that some of the crazier diet fads seem to be receding, I figure that eggs can rebound a little bit as part of a well-rounded diet for most Americans. The stock sells for 6 times earnings." Buffett's best man http://www.smartmoney.com/smartmoney-magazine/index.cfm?story=september2008-charlie-munger "Munger, 84 and blind in one eye, walks stiffly to the stage. A prestigious physics professor waits to interview him, but once the lanky, thick-bespectacled guest starts blaspheming some favorite targets, the prof rarely gets a word in edgewise. Munger's topic du jour is the spiraling credit crisis: He flings vitriol at bankers, saying they've been selling investors "a hapless mess of super-complexity." The accounting profession has "disgraced itself" with its lax standards, and so has academia. "The idea that we need derivatives is just so much twaddle," he says. Yet despite all this inanity and skullduggery, Munger still sees the investing world as a place where common sense can triumph -- if only because "it isn't so common."" The death of the credit card economy http://www.slate.com/id/2198942/ "The most revolutionary notion in commerce today is one of the oldest. If you want to buy something, you may actually have to pay for it. We are reverting from a "borrow and buy" economy to the "cash and carry" model of our grandparents." DOW 30 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/D Yield ============================================ === === === === ===== Bank of America (BAC) 1 5 1 5 5 Pfizer (PFE) 3 4 2 5 5 Citigroup (C) 0 5 2 5 5 AT&T (T) 2 4 3 5 5 Verizon (VZ) 2 4 4 5 5 Merck (MRK) 2 2 1 4 4 General Electric (GE) 4 4 3 4 4 AIG (AIG) 0 5 5 4 4 JP Morgan Chase (JPM) 4 5 2 4 4 EI DuPont (DD) 4 3 3 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/D VR ============================================ === === === === ===== Pfizer (PFE) 3 4 2 5 2.0 Bank of America (BAC) 1 5 1 5 2.2 Chevron (CVX) 5 4 5 4 2.6 AT&T (T) 2 4 3 5 2.8 General Electric (GE) 4 4 3 4 2.9 EI DuPont (DD) 4 3 3 4 3.2 Verizon (VZ) 2 4 4 5 3.3 Merck (MRK) 2 2 1 4 3.3 JP Morgan Chase (JPM) 4 5 2 4 3.4 Caterpillar (CAT) 5 2 4 3 3.9 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ======================================== === === === ====== ====== JP Morgan Chase (JPM) 4 5 4 50.11 26.53 Alcoa (AA) 5 5 2 33.24 17.47 Chevron (CVX) 5 4 4 91.63 14.22 Bank of America (BAC) 1 5 5 35.50 10.14 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ======================================= === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 1 5 3 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 4 1 5 5 CIBC (CM) 0 4 5 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 4 4 5 5 Husky Energy (HSE) 5 2 2 3 5 5 Telus (T) 4 4 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 2 3 1 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 3 2 4 5 5 5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 3 3 4 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ======================================== === === === === === ===== Husky Energy (HSE) 5 2 2 3 5 1.9 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 2 4 1.9 Biovail (BVF) 1 5 3 5 5 1.9 Telus (T) 4 4 4 5 5 2.2 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 4 1 5 2.2 BCE (BCE) 5 3 3 4 4 2.5 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 5 4 3 2.7 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 1 4 2.8 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 5 2.9 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 2 3 1 5 3.0 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ======================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 124.43 1119.8 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 94.82 59.71 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 3 66.60 58.31 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 55.77 48.79 Canadian Tire (CTC.A) 4 5 3 65.13 26.71 First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (FM) 5 2 2 68.80 26.17 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 49.20 23.78 Inmet Mining (IMN) 5 3 1 68.91 18.81 Nova (NCX) 5 3 2 32.30 18.22 Weston George (WN) 4 5 4 52.47 9.74 Telus (T) 4 4 5 44.78 9.35 MDS Inc. (MDS) 2 5 0 15.92 7.74 Canadian Pacific Rail (CP) 4 4 3 64.81 4.77 Talisman Energy (TLM) 5 3 2 17.58 3.12 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 5 48.03 0.92 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham & David Dodd Graham and Dodd's Security Analysis is the investment bible for smart investors. Regrettably the breadth of material that it covers can be intimidating and only dedicated students are likely to make it through its 770 pages. However, Security Analysis is filled with Graham's practical investment philosophy and if you're a serious investor then you should read this book. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0071448209/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 06/30/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.7% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||