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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2009 01: 04 2008 12: 07 14 21 28 11: 02 09 16 23 30 10: 05 12 19 26 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 Dan's Reports Perspective on the bear Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (07/20/2008)"Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years." - Warren Buffett Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml SEC retrenches on new short-selling rules http://www.forbes.com/home/2008/07/18/sec-short-trading-biz-cx_em_0718nakedshort.html "Under the new rule, the SEC will require short-sellers to secure borrowed shares before putting on their short sales, preventing "naked" short-selling, in which a trader doesn't properly locate shares to borrow. Naked short-selling can add extra downward momentum on a stock because without being forced to borrow the shares first, traders can short a limitless amount of stock. But the emergency rule, which is in effect for 30 days, only applied to those 19 companies among Wall Street's biggest. They are companies whose shares are not typically hard to locate or scarce for shorting, a fact that angered many earlier in the week. The American Bankers Association wants the SEC to include shares of regional banks under the requirements, and no doubt hundreds of small company chief executives would also like to be covered." Prepare to have a nose for a bargain http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/79e789e2-54e0-11dd-ae9c-000077b07658.html "Stocks should be bought like groceries and not like perfume. A few days ago, I was reminded of this advice from Ben Graham, the father of value investing, by David Shapiro, the manager of the value-orientated Collins Stewart UK Focus Fund. And with the FTSE 100 index falling 250 points between last Friday and this Wednesday . wiping more than 50bn off the value of the UK.s top companies . the equity market certainly seems more like Aldi or Lidl than an eau de toilette counter at Harrods. In fact, the scent wafting from most dealing desks has smelled suspiciously like Whiff of Fear." John Templeton http://www.economist.com/obituary/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11745591 "Sir John Templeton spent his life going against the flow. In September 1939, when the war-spooked world was selling, he borrowed $10,000 to buy 100 shares in everything that was trading for less than a dollar a share on the New York Stock Exchange. All but four eventually turned profits. In early 2000, conversely, he sold all his dotcom and Nasdaq tech stocks just before the market crashed. His iron principle of investing was 'to buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are greedily buying'. At the point of 'maximum pessimism' he would enter, and clean up." S&P500 dividend yield highest since June 1995 http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/bespoke/2008/07/sp-500-dividend.html "The S&P 500 is currently yielding the most it has since June 1995 at 2.49%. After declining for about 20 years from the early 80s to the late 90s, the dividend yield has been on a steady rise this decade." Seeing bad loans http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/16/business/16bank.html "While a fraction of the nation's banks are expected to buckle under their growing burden of bad loans, federal regulators, bank executives and analysts agree that the vast majority of institutions are sound. Bank customers are not panicking, particularly since most of their deposits are insured. But shareholders, whose investments are by no means guaranteed, are running scared. It is becoming increasingly clear that even the strongest banks will be grappling with bad loans for years - and that the outlook for the industry could worsen further if the economy and the housing market continue to weaken. The collapse of IndyMac Bancorp last week fanned long-smoldering worries that even healthy banks confront significant challenges." Curbing short-selling abuse http://www.forbes.com/2008/07/15/sec-shorting-stocks-biz-cx_lm_0715nakedshort.html "The naked short regulations promise to have more teeth than last weekend's announcement that the SEC would police rumors on Wall Street. That was widely interpreted as a weak attempt to herd cats. Traders now won't be able to skirt borrowing rules to short shares of a rival firm. Up until now, traders were merely required to "locate" shares they'd be borrowing to short. As in: "Yeah, my cousin Vinny in Hoboken has them." The location requirement is a weaker standard that leaves plenty of room for "interpretation" if not outright abuse. Pre-borrowing is a much firmer commitment and eliminates the probability that a stock lender will lend out the same shares to several different traders." SEC to limit short sales http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPokh6La9.HY&refer=home "The requirement would prohibit the practice known as naked short selling, in which traders avoid the financial burden of borrowing shares when betting they'll fall." [A long overdue move.] European recession looms http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/07/15/ccspain115.xml&CMP=ILC-mostviewedbox "The eurozone is tipping into a deeper downturn than America itself despite the tremors in the US mortgage industry, and may already be in full recession for the first time since the launch of the single currency." Nation demands new bubble http://www.theonion.com/content/news/recession_plagued_nation_demands "A panel of top business leaders testified before Congress about the worsening recession Monday, demanding the government provide Americans with a new irresponsible and largely illusory economic bubble in which to invest. "What America needs right now is not more talk and long-term strategy, but a concrete way to create more imaginary wealth in the very immediate future," said Thomas Jenkins, CFO of the Boston-area Jenkins Financial Group, a bubble-based investment firm. "We are in a crisis, and that crisis demands an unviable short-term solution."" Scotiabank to buy E*TRADE Canada http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/July2008/14/c4216.html "Scotiabank will purchase E(*)TRADE Canada for USD$442 million (approximately C$444 million), subject to regulatory approvals. The completion of today's announcement will double Scotiabank's footprint in the Canadian online investing market." [There goes another independent broker.] Paulson seeks authority to shore up Fannie, Freddie http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=amUsJpIVnOvs&refer=home "Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson put the weight of the federal government behind Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the beleaguered companies that buy or finance almost half of the $12 trillion of U.S. mortgages. Paulson, speaking on the steps of the Treasury facing the White House, asked Congress for authority to buy unlimited stakes in and lend to the companies, aiming to stem a collapse in confidence. The Federal Reserve separately authorized the firms to borrow directly from the central bank." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ========================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 4 5 4 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 1 5 5 CIBC (CM) 0 4 5 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 4 4 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 5 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 3 5 5 Husky Energy (HSE) 4 2 3 3 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ========================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 4 5 4 5 5 0.6 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 1 5 1.9 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 2 4 1.9 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 2.2 BCE (BCE) 5 3 3 4 4 2.2 Husky Energy (HSE) 4 2 3 3 5 2.6 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 3 5 2.6 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 2.6 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 1 4 3.0 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 3.1 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ========================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 84.69 704.32 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 99.86 64.48 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 55.77 48.79 Nova (NCX) 5 4 3 35.93 42.76 Biovail (BVF) 4 5 5 14.13 36.91 Canadian Tire (CTC.A) 5 5 3 67.01 28.86 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 2 60.46 24.43 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 49.83 19.87 Inmet Mining (IMN) 5 3 1 75.52 17.24 Weston George (WN) 4 5 4 52.92 14.01 MDS Inc. (MDS) 2 5 0 15.98 10.66 Telus (T) 5 4 5 44.42 9.59 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 50.03 8.86 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 40.00 3.41 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 5 60.18 2.83 Canadian Pacific Rail (CP) 4 4 2 68.78 1.61 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton G. Malkiel Take a random walk down Wall Street and you'll learn a great deal about market history and current market theory. This book provides an excellent introduction to the markets and gives readers a good grounding in the efficient market hypothesis. Along the way Malkiel makes a very strong case for indexing but even active investors will find a great deal of useful information in his book. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0393325350/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 06/30/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.7% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||