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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2009 01: 04 2008 12: 07 14 21 28 11: 02 09 16 23 30 10: 05 12 19 26 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 Dan's Reports Perspective on the bear Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (05/18/2008)"In my whole life, I have known no wise people (over a broad subject matter area) who didn't read all the time - none, zero. You'd be amazed at how much Warren reads - at how much I read. My children laugh at me. They think I'm a book with a couple of legs sticking out." - Charlie Munger Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Consider the drawbacks of your assets being jointly owned https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20080515/RCESTNICK15 "The term "joint ownership" is used to loosely describe one of two common legal relationships: Tenants in common, or joint tenancy with right of survivorship (JTWROS). Tenants in common owners each hold separate ownership interests that can generally be sold or transferred without the consent of the other owners. But JTWROS is more common. In the case of JTWROS, the survivorship feature means that when an individual dies, the deceased person's interest is automatically distributed to the remaining joint tenants. Think of this as a "winner takes all" game. The asset will pass to the surviving owners outside of the deceased's estate. The result? Probate fees are avoided." Dead end for free trade https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20080517/RCOVER17 "The long-ago promise of the Canada-U.S. free-trade deal was about dismantling barriers - tariff and otherwise - along the world's longest undefended border. But those benefits are being slowly eroded as companies absorb ever greater costs - anything and everything to keep trade moving. Just-in-time inventory management has evolved into just-in-case. Companies are stockpiling inventory in both countries to cope with the increasingly unpredictable border, wiping out many of the efficiencies of integrated supply chains, according to recent studies by the Conference Board of Canada as well as the Canadian and U.S. Chambers of Commerce. Stockpiling isn't the only coping mechanism seeping into everyday business. Disturbingly, businesses are reverting to behaviour that was common before free trade, a trend that is eroding the benefits of Canada's open access to the U.S. market, the Conference Board concluded." Berkshire's No. 2 man helps from the background http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D90MRCM80.htm "The two men who run Berkshire Hathaway Inc. have an arrangement: Warren Buffett is the face of the company and Charlie Munger stays mainly in the shadows. That works well for the two billionaires, who together have developed one of the most successful investment records ever. But while Munger downplays his own contributions -- he is known for repeating "I have nothing to add" after Buffett's expansive comments at the Berkshire shareholder meetings -- his role is key to much of the company's success." 2008 Wesco notes http://seekingalpha.com/article/76538-2008-wesco-shareholder-meeting-detailed-notes "Most assets are priced to a level where it is hard to get excited. It is hard to get 4% yield on a nice apartment, and it doesn't include replacing the carpets. Bonds of strong corporations are 4% yield. Corporate equities are paying 2% pa, growing 4% per year. Such a world isn't the one that made all of you able to come to the meeting. Last generation has been in hog heaven - some bumps, but it had easiest time getting ahead. In the eighteen years that preceded hog heaven, the purchasing power of Yale's endowment went down 60%. They were getting real investment return of 0%, negative. It is not at all impossible that brilliant investors like Yale get bad results in the future." Decades lost http://www.canadianbusiness.com/columnists/al_rosen/article.jsp?content=20080511_198712_198712 "As Canada moves toward adopting International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as the accounting standard for public companies, it is preparing to turn its back on decades of progress shoring up financial reporting in this country. Any regular reader of this column will know that Canada.s current mix of loose accounting and deficient securities enforcement is wholly unacceptable for investors. The introduction of IFRS in its current form will only make the situation that much worse." Fixes for bad timing http://www.kiplinger.com/magazine/archives/2008/06/discovering_value.html "Investing too early is one of the more common sins of value investors. Watching as that well-researched idea you loved a few months ago falls 20% to 30% can be painful and nerve-racking. Bruce Berkowitz, of the highly successful Fairholme fund, calls it "premature accumulation." Getting your timing wrong is inevitable -- especially in today's market, in which stock prices continue to plumb new depths in a wide variety of industries." Beer may not be recession-proof http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/15/news/companies/miller_beer.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008051512 "Miller CEO says cash-strapped beer drinkers are trading down to economy beers due to a slumping economy." Malthus, the false prophet http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?source=hptextfeature&story_id=11374623 "Given the fear that a new era of chronic shortages may have begun, it is perhaps understandable that the name of Thomas Malthus is in the air. Yet if his views were indeed now correct, that would defy the experience of the past two centuries." Not so fast http://www.economist.com/opinion/displayStory.cfm?story_id=11355750 "Research by the London Business School looked at 17 countries over 108 years. The countries with the slowest-growing economies (as measured by GDP growth over five-year periods) returned 8% a year; the markets in the fastest-growing economies, by contrast, returned just 5% a year. When a broader group of 53 economies, including many emerging markets, were examined, the tortoises beat the hares by a wider margin - 12% to 6-7%." Has equity always earned a premium? http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1127 "Past performance is no guarantee, but history tells us that the equity risk premium has been persistent. This column shows that British investors enjoyed relatively high returns in the nineteenth century, though today.s UK market differs greatly from its formative ancestor." Overplaying their hand http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/12/magazines/fortune/sloan_arbs.fortune/index.htm "There are different kinds of investors in the world. One kind is a long-term patient type who runs mutual funds for the average Joe. A second is a risk arbitrageur - known on Wall Street as an "arb" - who speculates on pending deals. When a proposed takeover surfaces and the target's stock price runs up, Mr. Patience tends to sell to the arbs, happy to take his profit and letting the arbs bear the risk of whether the deal gets done and at what price. Recently, however, two of the biggest and best-known mutual fund investors - Gordon Crawford of Capital Research Global Investors and Bill Miller of the Legg Mason Value Trust (LMVRX) blurred the distinction between the investment and arb worlds, and their shareholders paid the price." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ========================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 4 5 3 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 1 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 5 5 5 CIBC (CM) 2 4 5 5 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 4 1 5 5 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 5 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 5 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 5 5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ========================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 4 5 3 5 5 1.0 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 2 4 1.9 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 1 5 2.2 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 5 5 2.2 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 3.0 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 3.1 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 5 5 3.3 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 4 1 5 3.3 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 4 3.6 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 5 3.9 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ========================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 85.01 292.68 MDS Inc. (MDS) 5 5 0 47.13 143.70 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 55.77 48.79 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 3 5 3 100.16 28.47 Nova (NCX) 5 4 2 35.97 23.92 Biovail (BVF) 4 5 5 14.12 10.43 Canadian Tire (CTC.A) 5 5 3 66.21 10.14 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 49.79 4.58 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 2 60.49 4.38 Weston George (WN) 4 5 4 52.96 3.83 BCE (BCE) 5 3 5 39.99 3.02 Inmet Mining (IMN) 5 3 1 75.45 3.00 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 5 50.27 0.60 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Contrarian Investor's 13 by Benj Gallander Benj, a fellow Canadian MoneySaver contributing editor, publishes the successful Contra The Heard investment newsletter with his partner Ben. You can find out all about his investment philosophy by reading his well-written book the Contrarian Investor's 13. If you're a fan of beaten-down companies that many investors have simply given up on then Benj's book will tickle your fancy. Be sure to grab a copy soon because Canadian print runs tend to be small and procrastinators might be out of luck. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0143015923/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.9% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||