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The Stingy News Weekly (03/16/01)

The Markets This Week

  DOW 30: 9,823.41 -7.71% to a P/E of 23.8
  TSE 300: 7,752.21 -4.71% to a P/E of 20.2

The DOW is following the NASDAQ down and slid almost 8% this week. I suspect that there'll be a lot of blood on the streets before it's all over.

In these times it's useful to remember Buffett's quiz:

"A short quiz: If you plan to eat hamburgers throughout your life and are not a cattle producer, should you wish for higher or lower prices for beef? Likewise, if you are going to buy a car from time to time but are not an auto manufacturer, should you prefer higher or lower car prices? These questions, of course, answer themselves.

But now for the final exam: If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period?

Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall. In effect, they rejoice because prices have risen for the "hamburgers" they will soon be buying.

This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices."
-1997 Letter to Shareholders of BRK

Stingy Links

Abby Ignores Ominous P/E Patterns
Gee, haven't most folk been ignoring sky-high P/Es for years now?

Mining Fool's Gold (PDF)
A full frontal attack on the Motley Fool's approach to the DOW. Useful reading for any one interested in the Dogs of the Dow.

Is it a bear market yet???!!!
Bearish commentary and some keen graphs. Take a gander at the insider selling graph.

Fun and cheer with a load Bearish cartoons:
http://www.beartopia.net/ramirezlatimes/ramirez_20010315.jpg
http://www.beartopia.net/ramirezlatimes/ramirez_20010313.jpg
http://www.beartopia.net/ramirezlatimes/ramirez_20010207.jpg
http://www.beartopia.net/ramirezlatimes/ramirez_20010304.jpg
http://www.beartopia.net/ramirezlatimes/ramirez_20001203.jpg
http://www.wsrn.com/apps/features/humor.xpl?d=031601

Market Trivia

The trivia questions this week are:
  • What were the 5 least profitable years for the DOW?
  • What were the losses for the years in Q1?
  • What were the three worst market declines in the U.S.?

The trivia questions and answers from last week are:
  • By how much has BRK outperformed the S&P500?
  • Which TSE 300 stock has the highest Earnings Yield?
  • Which DOW stock has the highest Earnings Yield?
  • 207,821% vs 5,283% from 1964-2000
  • Quebecor at 62%
  • General Motors 12.2%

Stingy Books

Value Investing: A Balanced Approach
This book deserves a place on every investor's bookshelf. Martin Whitman takes on modern portfolio theory and proivides a hard look at real world behaviour. I was pleased to find more insight in this book than many others that I've read recently.

New @ StingyInvestor.com

I've created several new pages that list data on Canadian SPP Stocks. This should help those who want their DRIPs to have SPPs.

http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/SPPs.shtml
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/tse300.spp.q.shtml
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/tse300.spp.pe.shtml
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/tse300.spp.pd.shtml
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/tse300.spp.pb.shtml
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/DRPs/tse300.spp.gr.shtml

Bullishly Yours,
Norman Rothery



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