|
|||||
|
|||||
|
Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2009 01: 04 2008 12: 07 14 21 28 11: 02 09 16 23 30 10: 05 12 19 26 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 Dan's Reports Perspective on the bear Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (02/03/2008)"Unless you can watch your stock holdings decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market." - Warren Buffett Stingy News Flash We are pleased to announce that The Rothery Report is now available to subscribers from across Canada. Learn more about our newsletter by visiting http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Housing meltdown http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_06/b4070040767516.htm "Brace yourself: Home prices could sink an additional 25% over the next two or three years, returning values to their 2000 levels in inflation-adjusted terms. That's even with the Federal Reserve's half-percentage-point rate cut on Jan. 30 While a 25% decline is unprecedented in modern times, some economists are beginning to talk about it. "We now see potential for another 25% to 30% downside over the next two years," says David A. Rosenberg, North American economist for Merrill Lynch (MER), who until recently had expected a much smaller slide. Shocking though it might seem, a decline of 25% from here would merely reverse the market's spectacular appreciation during the boom. It would put the national price level right back on its long-term growth trend line, a surprisingly modest 0.4% a year after inflation." The dash to trash http://www.investorsinsight.com/otb_va_print.aspx?EditionID=645 "The US market is not priced for even a shallow recession - let alone a deep one. Investors are piling on the risk by blindly believing that they can tell 'true' growth stocks from the young pretenders - however, history suggests that a monkey throwing darts would generally do a better job! Investors with an ability to hold cash should consider this option. Waiting for the 'fat pitch' may be one of the smartest ways of dealing with the current juncture. For those who have to be invested, discipline will be key. Sticking with a proven process and focusing on the long- term should bring (long-term) rewards. Tilting towards large cap, dividend paying stocks or large caps with the resource to transform cash piles into dividends are likely to be the safest place to hide." Experience: Walter Schloss http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2008/0211/048.html "Walter Schloss has lived through 17 recessions, starting with one when Woodrow Wilson was President. This old-school value investor has made money through many of them. What's ahead for the economy? He doesn't worry about it. A onetime employee of the grand panjandrum of value, Benjamin Graham, and a man his pal Warren Buffett calls a "superinvestor," Schloss at 91 would rather talk about individual bargains he has spotted. Like the struggling car-wheel maker or the moneylosing furniture supplier. Bushy-eyebrowed and avuncular, Schloss has a laid-back approach that fast-money traders couldn't comprehend. He has never owned a computer and gets his prices from the morning newspaper. A lot of his financial data come from company reports delivered to him by mail, or from hand-me-down copies of Value Line, the stock information service." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ============================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 3 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 3 3 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 4 3 5 5 CIBC (CM) 5 3 4 3 5 5 Telus (T) 3 4 3 4 5 5 BCE (BCE) 4 3 4 4 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 3 2 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 2 3 2 3 5 5 Shaw Comm Cl.B (SJR.B) 2 4 3 4 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ============================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 3 5 5 0.5 CIBC (CM) 5 3 4 3 5 1.6 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 3 4 2.0 Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 4 4 5 4 2.3 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 3 3 5 2.8 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 3 2 5 3.1 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 3.1 BCE (BCE) 4 3 4 4 5 3.1 Telus (T) 3 4 3 4 5 3.2 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 4 3 5 3.3 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ============================================== === === === ====== ====== MDS Inc. (MDS) 5 5 0 40.84 139.53 Lundin Mining Corporation (LUN) 5 5 0 16.95 104.76 Biovail (BVF) 5 5 5 19.02 43.52 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 49.02 33.93 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 99.57 22.81 Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 4 4 41.89 20.03 ACE Aviation Holdings Inc. (ACE.B) 5 5 0 26.15 16.77 Talisman Energy (TLM) 5 4 2 17.26 7.99 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 2 49.89 7.99 CIBC (CM) 5 3 5 78.74 7.16 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Philip A. Fisher Fisher takes a qualitative view of stocks and stresses the importance of intangible aspects of a firm with heavy emphasis on research and human capital. He also falls into the focused camp of investors who buy only a few carefully selected stocks and hold them for long periods. As Warren Buffett's second favourite book on investing, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits is a must read for students of the market. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0471445509/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 12/31/2007) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 45.2% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
|
|||||
| |||||
|
Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment advisor before
trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance.
The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not
intended to be, nor does it constitute, investment advice or
recommendations. If you need personalized financial advice then
please consider our private client
services. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed
for completeness, accuracy or in any other way.
A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||